Expenditure exceeds sanctioned estimate by 61%
Foot over-bridge ramp · Muzaffarpur, Bihar · sanctioned 16 Jul 2024 · detected 13 Dec 2025 (96 days ago)
Why this was flagged
Gradient-boosted residuals evaluated this work against 720 comparable sanctions in Bihar for the same category and financial year. Final expenditure diverges from the approved estimate beyond the tolerance learned for that work category, district and year. The residual for this record falls outside the learned tolerance, and the contribution breakdown below isolates which measured features carried the score.
- 01Expenditure / sanction ratio+25.0
- 02Revised estimate count+24.3
- 03Category cost residual (district)+24.1
- 04Time between revisions+19.1
- 05Agency historical overrun rate+6.5
Contributions are additive against the cohort baseline; they sum to the composite score and are recomputed whenever the underlying record changes.
Evidence
| Category median (district) | Rs 65.92 L |
| Revisions on record | 3 |
| Sanctioned | Rs 80.39 L |
| Released | Rs 82.00 L |
| Expenditure | Rs 129.55 L |
| Physical progress | 41% |
Record trail
- 16 Jul 2024Work sanctioned by the District Authority₹80.39 L · Muzaffarpur Jal Nigam Division
- 16 Jul 2024First instalment released to the implementing agency₹41.00 L
- 13 Dec 2025D-01 fired during the nightly scoring runGradient-boosted residuals · confidence 0.80
- 13 Dec 2025Alert routed to Ministry review deskResponse window 7 days
- 13 Dec 2025Escalated to the State Nodal AuthorityAwaiting agency reply
The work
Detector
Cost overrun against sanctioned estimate
Final expenditure diverges from the approved estimate beyond the tolerance learned for that work category, district and year.