Expenditure exceeds sanctioned estimate by 58%

Gradient-boosted residuals evaluated this work against 600 comparable sanctions in Madhya Pradesh for the same category and financial year. Final expenditure diverges from the approved estimate beyond the tolerance learned for that work category, district and year. The residual for this record falls outside the learned tolerance, and the contribution breakdown below isolates which measured features carried the score.

1. 01Expenditure / sanction ratio+28.8
2. 02Revised estimate count+17.6
3. 03Category cost residual (district)+15.1
4. 04Time between revisions+8.9
5. 05Agency historical overrun rate+4.6

Contributions are additive against the cohort baseline; they sum to the composite score and are recomputed whenever the underlying record changes.

1. 04 Oct 2024Work sanctioned by the District Authority₹64.35 L · Sagar Jal Nigam Division
2. 04 Oct 2024First instalment released to the implementing agency₹32.82 L
3. 23 Feb 2026D-01 fired during the nightly scoring runGradient-boosted residuals · confidence 0.73
4. 23 Feb 2026Alert routed to Ministry review deskResponse window 15 days