Payment burst concentrated in the closing weeks of the financial year
Recharge pit cluster · Bhavnagar, Gujarat · sanctioned 16 Jan 2024 · detected 07 Feb 2026 (34 days ago)
Why this was flagged
Point-process burst detection evaluated this work against 583 comparable sanctions in Gujarat for the same category and financial year. Abnormal clustering of releases and bills into the closing weeks of the financial year relative to the work's own execution curve. The residual for this record falls outside the learned tolerance, and the contribution breakdown below isolates which measured features carried the score.
- 01Share of releases in final 30 days+29.1
- 02Bill submission burst intensity+27.9
- 03Deviation from execution curve+12.5
- 04Prior-year year-end pattern+10.0
- 05Sanction-to-payment latency+9.5
Contributions are additive against the cohort baseline; they sum to the composite score and are recomputed whenever the underlying record changes.
Evidence
| Releases in final 30 days | 86% |
| Bills submitted in week 52 | 15 |
| Sanctioned | Rs 35.06 L |
| Released | Rs 29.49 L |
| Expenditure | Rs 21.23 L |
| Physical progress | 3% |
Record trail
- 16 Jan 2024Work sanctioned by the District Authority₹35.06 L · Bhavnagar Municipal Corporation
- 16 Jan 2024First instalment released to the implementing agency₹14.74 L
- 07 Feb 2026D-08 fired during the nightly scoring runPoint-process burst detection · confidence 0.77
- 07 Feb 2026Alert routed to Ministry review deskResponse window 7 days
- 07 Feb 2026Escalated to the State Nodal AuthorityAwaiting agency reply
The work
Detector
Fiscal year-end payment burst
Abnormal clustering of releases and bills into the closing weeks of the financial year relative to the work's own execution curve.