National · all states and union territories
Synthetic demo data
Overview
← Alert queue/ALT-26-0147
ClearOpenD-10 · FinancialOwner: Ministry review desk

Leading-digit distribution of bills departs from Benford expectation

Anganwadi centre · Kollam, Kerala · sanctioned 06 Dec 2025 · detected 22 Feb 2026 (49 days ago)

Why this was flagged

score 38 / 100

Benford chi-square test evaluated this work against 419 comparable sanctions in Kerala for the same category and financial year. The distribution of leading digits across an agency's invoices departs from the Benford expectation, a marker for manufactured figures. The residual for this record falls outside the learned tolerance, and the contribution breakdown below isolates which measured features carried the score.

Composite score
38
Model confidence
0.96
Peer cohort
253 works
Tier
Clear ≥ 45
Feature contribution to the score
  1. 01Benford chi-square statistic+12.6
  2. 02Leading-digit 1 deficit+11.6
  3. 03Round-figure bill share+6.5
  4. 04Bill count in the sample+4.4
  5. 05Split-bill proximity+3.0

Contributions are additive against the cohort baseline; they sum to the composite score and are recomputed whenever the underlying record changes.

Evidence

drawn from the source records
Chi-square statistic43.3
Bills in sample101
SanctionedRs 76.78 L
ReleasedRs 31.25 L
ExpenditureRs 16.76 L
Physical progress4%

Record trail

  1. 06 Dec 2025Work sanctioned by the District Authority₹76.78 L · Kollam District Rural Development Agency
  2. 06 Dec 2025First instalment released to the implementing agency₹15.63 L
  3. 22 Feb 2026D-10 fired during the nightly scoring runBenford chi-square test · confidence 0.96
  4. 22 Feb 2026Alert routed to Ministry review deskResponse window 30 days

The work

MPLADS/KL/2563
Asset
Anganwadi centre
Category
Community hall / Anganwadi
Recommended by
D. Kulkarni · Lok Sabha
Constituency
Kollam 3
Implementing agency
Kollam District Rural Development Agency
Contractor
Gomti Builders
Status
Stalled
Beneficiaries
13,050
Money
Sanctioned76.78 L
Released31.25 L
Expenditure16.76 L
Unspent with agency14.49 L
Physical progress4%

Detector

D-10

First-digit anomaly in bill values

The distribution of leading digits across an agency's invoices departs from the Benford expectation, a marker for manufactured figures.

Benford chi-square testFinancial

Comparable detections

D-10