Expenditure exceeds sanctioned estimate by 43%

Gradient-boosted residuals evaluated this work against 208 comparable sanctions in Uttar Pradesh for the same category and financial year. Final expenditure diverges from the approved estimate beyond the tolerance learned for that work category, district and year. The residual for this record falls outside the learned tolerance, and the contribution breakdown below isolates which measured features carried the score.

1. 01Category cost residual (district)+24.5
2. 02Expenditure / sanction ratio+23.9
3. 03Revised estimate count+12.9
4. 04Time between revisions+8.4
5. 05Agency historical overrun rate+3.4

Contributions are additive against the cohort baseline; they sum to the composite score and are recomputed whenever the underlying record changes.

1. 14 Jan 2026Work sanctioned by the District Authority₹10.09 L · Bareilly District Rural Development Agency
2. 14 Jan 2026First instalment released to the implementing agency₹5.14 L
3. 26 Feb 2026D-01 fired during the nightly scoring runGradient-boosted residuals · confidence 0.84
4. 26 Feb 2026Alert routed to State Nodal AuthorityResponse window 15 days